{"id":9102,"date":"2025-10-15T13:32:05","date_gmt":"2025-10-15T18:32:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propuestasdelbicentenario.pe\/?p=9102"},"modified":"2025-10-15T14:22:04","modified_gmt":"2025-10-15T19:22:04","slug":"el-costo-de-oportunidad-de-la-inestabilidad-politica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/blog\/2025\/10\/15\/el-costo-de-oportunidad-de-la-inestabilidad-politica\/","title":{"rendered":"El costo de oportunidad de la inestabilidad pol\u00edtica"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><br \/>\nPor Nicol\u00e1s Besich<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"391\" data-end=\"1394\">En el Per\u00fa persiste la peligrosa idea de que la pol\u00edtica y la econom\u00eda van por caminos separados, cuando en realidad <strong>la inestabilidad institucional afecta directamente el bienestar de las personas<\/strong>. Aunque el pa\u00eds vive los <strong>mejores t\u00e9rminos de intercambio en 75 a\u00f1os<\/strong> \u2014con <strong>precios r\u00e9cord de exportaci\u00f3n<\/strong>, como el <strong>oro que supera los 4 000 d\u00f3lares la onza<\/strong>\u2014, los <strong>beneficios se concentran en la miner\u00eda no formal<\/strong>, fuera del control del Estado y sin retorno fiscal. En los a\u00f1os 50, con un contexto similar, el Per\u00fa crec\u00eda cerca de 9% e impulsaba grandes obras p\u00fablicas; hoy apenas alcanza 3% y <strong>la pobreza sigue aumentando<\/strong>, con<strong> casi tres millones de nuevos pobres desde 2019<\/strong>. La inestabilidad tambi\u00e9n golpea la seguridad: <strong>Arequipa registr\u00f3 la mayor tasa de victimizaci\u00f3n en una d\u00e9cada<\/strong> y <strong>el Ministerio del Interior ha tenido 15 titulares en solo tres a\u00f1os<\/strong>. As\u00ed, la <strong>crisis pol\u00edtica se traduce en menor inversi\u00f3n, bajo crecimiento y m\u00e1s inseguridad<\/strong>. Ignorar este v\u00ednculo tiene un costo que el pa\u00eds ya est\u00e1 pagando.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/diarioelpueblo.com.pe\/2025\/10\/15\/el-costo-de-oportunidad-de-la-inestabilidad-politica\/\">Lee aqu\u00ed su columna publicada en <strong>Diario El Pueblo (Arequipa):<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Nicol\u00e1s Besich En el Per\u00fa persiste la peligrosa idea de que la pol\u00edtica y la econom\u00eda van por caminos separados, cuando en realidad la inestabilidad institucional afecta directamente el&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":9104,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[6474,6463,1488,958,6476,6481,6469,350,3343,643,1069,650,617,783,6483,333,377,6487,6480,6293,6478,6479,1785,4352,6477,3237,300,233,1314,246,1634,143,55,799,155,182,380,753,54,990,6462,6489,1679,52,6486,4747,6465,6472,6488,6464,6470,839,6482,1465,1189,4226,838,214,6196,6467,6468,6475,3597,6484,525,6466,6471,6485,6473,6320,137],"class_list":{"0":"post-9102","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-estado-eficiente","8":"tag-arequipa-inseguridad","9":"tag-banco-central-de-reserva-del-peru","10":"tag-bienestar-ciudadano","11":"tag-confianza-empresarial","12":"tag-consecuencias-de-la-inestabilidad","13":"tag-costo-de-la-inestabilidad","14":"tag-crecimiento-del-pib","15":"tag-crecimiento-economico","16":"tag-crecimiento-sostenido","17":"tag-crisis-de-seguridad","18":"tag-crisis-institucional","19":"tag-desarrollo-economico","20":"tag-desarrollo-sostenible","21":"tag-desigualdad","22":"tag-economia-latinoamericana","23":"tag-economia-nacional","24":"tag-economia-peruana","25":"tag-economia-postpandemia","26":"tag-economia-y-politica-en-el-peru","27":"tag-el-pueblo","28":"tag-elecciones-peruanas","29":"tag-estabilidad-institucional","30":"tag-estabilidad-politica","31":"tag-exportaciones-peruanas","32":"tag-freno-al-crecimiento","33":"tag-futuro-economico-del-peru","34":"tag-gobernabilidad","35":"tag-impacto-economico","36":"tag-inestabilidad-politica","37":"tag-inflacion","38":"tag-ingresos-fiscales","39":"tag-inseguridad-ciudadana","40":"tag-institucionalidad","41":"tag-inversion-en-infraestructura","42":"tag-inversion-privada","43":"tag-inversion-publica","44":"tag-julio-velarde","45":"tag-liderazgo-economico","46":"tag-luis-miguel-castilla","47":"tag-mineria-informal","48":"tag-mineria-no-formal","49":"tag-mineria-y-desarrollo","50":"tag-ministerio-del-interior","51":"tag-nicolas-besich","52":"tag-oportunidades-perdidas","53":"tag-oro","54":"tag-oro-en-el-peru","55":"tag-pandemia-y-pobreza","56":"tag-panorama-economico-del-peru","57":"tag-perumin-37","58":"tag-pobreza-creciente","59":"tag-pobreza-en-el-peru","60":"tag-pobreza-estructural","61":"tag-politica-economica","62":"tag-politica-peruana","63":"tag-politica-y-economia","64":"tag-politicas-economicas","65":"tag-politicas-publicas","66":"tag-precios-internacionales","67":"tag-recaudacion-estatal","68":"tag-regiones-y-municipios","69":"tag-relacion-entre-politica-y-economia","70":"tag-responsabilidad-fiscal","71":"tag-retos-economicos-del-peru","72":"tag-rotacion-ministerial","73":"tag-segundo-productor-de-oro","74":"tag-situacion-de-pobreza","75":"tag-situacion-fiscal-del-peru","76":"tag-tasa-de-victimizacion","77":"tag-terminos-de-intercambio","78":"tag-videnza-instituto"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9102","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9102"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9102\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9106,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9102\/revisions\/9106"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9104"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9102"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9102"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9102"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}