{"id":8619,"date":"2025-04-11T10:34:36","date_gmt":"2025-04-11T15:34:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propuestasdelbicentenario.pe\/?p=8619"},"modified":"2025-04-11T10:34:36","modified_gmt":"2025-04-11T15:34:36","slug":"peru-y-la-guerra-comercial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/blog\/2025\/04\/11\/peru-y-la-guerra-comercial\/","title":{"rendered":"Per\u00fa y la guerra comercial"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><br \/>\nPor Luis Miguel Castilla<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:1,&quot;335551620&quot;:1,&quot;335559685&quot;:0,&quot;335559737&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:257}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">La decisi\u00f3n de Donald Trump de<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> imponer aranceles rec\u00edprocos a pa\u00edses, incluido Per\u00fa, <\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ha generado consecuencias negativas como el <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">colapso de los mercados burs\u00e1tiles<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, la<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> depreciaci\u00f3n de monedas<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> y la <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ca\u00edda de precios de <\/span><\/b><b><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">commodities<\/span><\/i><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, lo que nos coloca en un escenario similar al de la pandemia. Este conflicto ha desatado una guerra comercial con represalias de potencias como China, aumentando el <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">riesgo de recesi\u00f3n global<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. A partir de esta semana, las <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">exportaciones peruanas a EE. UU. deber\u00e1n pagar un 10% de arancel<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, lo que afectar\u00e1 principalmente<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> productos agroindustriales y minerales<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. A pesar de ello, el 85% de nuestras exportaciones se destinan a pa\u00edses con acuerdos preferenciales, lo que podr\u00eda mitigar el impacto. Sin embargo, <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">la desaceleraci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica mundial<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> y la <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">posible ralentizaci\u00f3n de inversiones privadas<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> debido al clima electoral son preocupaciones adicionales. Es crucial que el Per\u00fa aproveche esta coyuntura para adelantar<\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> reformas que reviertan los retrocesos en competitividad.\u00a0<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:0,&quot;335559737&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:257}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Lee aqu\u00ed su columna publicada en <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Correo (Huancayo):<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;134233117&quot;:false,&quot;134233118&quot;:false,&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:0,&quot;335559737&quot;:0,&quot;335559738&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-8620 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Recorte-LM-301x1024.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"301\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Recorte-LM-301x1024.webp 301w, https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Recorte-LM-88x300.webp 88w, https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Recorte-LM.webp 419w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 301px) 100vw, 301px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Luis Miguel Castilla\u00a0 La decisi\u00f3n de Donald Trump de imponer aranceles rec\u00edprocos a pa\u00edses, incluido Per\u00fa, ha generado consecuencias negativas como el colapso de los mercados burs\u00e1tiles, la depreciaci\u00f3n&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":8621,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[4131,3982,4743,4754,4748,3999,668,4358,682,4751,4757,350,4759,4741,4731,4740,3386,377,4760,4745,4749,4739,4750,3482,233,4753,4709,4756,4705,217,4746,4747,4755,47,4127,876,4664,4667,4758,4752,4742,3993,4744],"class_list":{"0":"post-8619","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-estado-eficiente","8":"tag-acuerdos-comerciales","9":"tag-aranceles","10":"tag-arandanos","11":"tag-cafe","12":"tag-catodos-de-cobre","13":"tag-china","14":"tag-cobre","15":"tag-comercio-exterior","16":"tag-competitividad","17":"tag-confecciones","18":"tag-contexto-preelectoral","19":"tag-crecimiento-economico","20":"tag-crisis-internacional","21":"tag-depreciacion-monetaria","22":"tag-diversificacion-exportadora","23":"tag-dolar","24":"tag-donald-trump","25":"tag-economia-peruana","26":"tag-ee-uu-4o","27":"tag-esparragos","28":"tag-estano","29":"tag-exportaciones","30":"tag-fosfatos","31":"tag-guerra-comercial","32":"tag-impacto-economico","33":"tag-impuesto-del-10","34":"tag-inestabilidad-financiera","35":"tag-inversiones-privadas","36":"tag-mercados-bursatiles","37":"tag-mexico","38":"tag-minerales","39":"tag-oro","40":"tag-palta","41":"tag-peru","42":"tag-politica-comercial","43":"tag-populismo","44":"tag-productos-agroindustriales","45":"tag-recesion-global","46":"tag-reformas","47":"tag-textiles","48":"tag-tlc","49":"tag-tratado-de-libre-comercio","50":"tag-uvas"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8619","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8619"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8619\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8622,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8619\/revisions\/8622"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8621"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8619"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8619"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/videnzainstituto.org\/propuestasdelbicentenario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8619"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}